Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction 06:16 Bitcoin Breaks $37,000 17:19 FTX 27:07 DAS London Plug 28:25 All Eye's Are Still On The Bond Market 48:07 Blockworks Research Ad 48:55 Circle Plans A 2024 IPO -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfJnD8LYKfg
In the 9th episode of Generational Arbitrage, Tyler Neville speaks with Kevin March & David Micley, Co-Founder & Director of Sales & Client Relations at Floating Point Group. Kevin March & David Micley give their perspective on the developing structure in crypto markets, arbitrage opportunities, generating yield, centralization vs decentralization and leaving Bridgewater to work in crypto.
00:00 Introductions
04:20 Running a business & market structure
08:29 Working at Bridgewater
13:05 How Floating Point is positioning itself
18:39 Institutional intrest in crypto
22:00 Pricing structure
28:03 Staking
34:53 Generational arbitrage for Millennials
39:04 Centralization vs Decentralization
---
Generational Arbitrage is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors. For more content like this, visit http://blockworks.co/podcasts.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AS0jB9glznc
The Reserve Bank of Australia shocks markets again, hiking rates for a second consecutive time after having paused once before, and thereby setting precedence for the June FOMC next week, when the Fed is expected to “skip” a rate hike. Weston Nakamura explains the significance of the RBA’s policy behavior to other major central banks.
Weston also shows how and why AUD matters to risk assets, such as the S&P500 index, and explains how the (in)famous AUDJPY carry trade works - noting that AUDJPY is currently re-correlating with the S&P500 price action.
Finally, Weston shares his big revelation of the day with regards to his ongoing working theory of the China policy insider trading - discovering that he may have been incorrect in his reading of the China Property and Development Sector indices’ price action, but in doing so, ultimately provides more clarity on what may be happening in the peculiar market behavior in Chinese equities.
--
Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U
Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm
Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Market Depth should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXwbh4CXWhY
Live from CoinAlts Fund Symposium 2019 in Chicago
Diogo Monica, President & Co-Founder, Anchorage
Michael Ippolito, Co-Founder, BlockWorks Group
#CoinAlts2019
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jlWeRC2WRe4
Nanette Jacobson, Global Investments Strategist at Hartford Funds, joins Forward Guidance to share her investment outlook. Jacobson argues that it might be time to lean into bonds because the bonds tend to rally 13 months before the Federal Reserve cuts rates, and she and Jack Farley debate the various merits of owning bonds at this juncture in the business cycle.
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Timecodes:
00:00 Introduction
00:30 Economic Outlook
09:04 Outlook On Banking System
12:45 Views On Interest Rates & Fed
25:20 China is "Cheap For A Reason"
30:14 U.S. Fiscal Stimulus
37:22 Cautious Views On Stocks
39:05 Common Costly Mistakes That Investors Make
39:06 Debate About Bonds
45:56 Common Costly Mistakes That Investors Make
50:52 Expensive Stocks Can Always Get More Expensive
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RRUGqwVCxc0
In October 2021, Lyn Alden, renowned macroeconomic thinker and investor, joined Forward Guidance for its first episode to argue that the sovereign bond market was vulnerable to inflationary pressures.
1 year later, with investors having dumped many trillions worth of government bonds, Alden returns to share her thinking on the long-term debt cycle, the energy markets, and what she sees as growing pressures for central banks to reliquify their beleaguered bond markets.
Filmed on October 20th, 2022.
Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://rb.gy/uesguv
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://rb.gy/cy0dki
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://rb.gy/igyzsj
--
Join Kraken, Binance, Arrington Capital, and 2000 others in heading to Dubai this fall for Algorand's DECIPHER conference, happening November 28-30. Tickets are available now -- use code DecipherFam22 for 25% off: https://www.decipherevent.com
--
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter:
https://rb.gy/5weeyw
Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can’t-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter:
https://rb.gy/feusos
Find out more about the Blockworks video editor role here: https://blockworks.co/careers/
--
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
19:54 What Will Cause The Fed To Pivot?
26:21 The Treasury Market Is Not In Full Panic Mode Yet
33:45 Recession Risk
35:24 Asset Allocation
38:26 The Dollar and Emerging Markets
45:45 Energy
53:49 When Will The Dollar Stop Rising?
01:01:54 The Long-Term Debt Cycle
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=im071GMdmkw
This week, Jack Farley host of the Forward Guidance podcast joins the show for a discussion on the biggest stories of the week.
With Bitcoin breaking past $30,000, equity indices reaching new bull market territory and many speculating that the Fed has finished hiking, we walk through the liquidity backdrop and if we are entering a new bull market, or not? To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in!
—
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Jack: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_
—
Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/
—
Use code PODS20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V86Samw07zA
In the November FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Jay Powell stated that while the pace of economic growth is slowing, indicators point to modest growth in spending and production this quarter.
Peter Tchir, head of macro strategy at Academy Securities, joins Forward Guidance to argue that the economy is slowing much, much faster than the Federal Reserve’s models indicate.
Tchir tells Jack Farley how brewing geopolitical tension between China and the U.S. will likely continue to weigh upon financial markets, and he shares his insights on energy markets in the U.S. and Europe.
--
Follow Peter Tchir on Twitter https://twitter.com/TFMkts
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://rb.gy/uesguv
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://rb.gy/cy0dki
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://rb.gy/igyzsj
--
Founded in 2014 by three cybersecurity engineers, Bittrex is a world-class cryptocurrency exchange with a focus on security and trust. Trade over 150 cryptocurrencies in the United States along with lightning-fast trade execution and dependable digital wallets, all protected by industry-leading security practices. Discover why Bittrex is the best kept secret in crypto trading. Open your account today at: http://fgpodcast.link/bittrex
--
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter:
https://rb.gy/5weeyw
Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can’t-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos
Find out more about the Blockworks video editor role here: https://blockworks.co/careers/
--
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
00:27 "I Would Disagree With Powell" On The U.S. Economy
06:03 "Credit Bubbles Only Happen With Safe Assets"
08:17 Layoffs In Big Tech
12:17 This Will Be A Deep And Lasting Recession
14:31 The Semiconductor Industry
20:34 China
33:52 Energy
36:56 Regulation of Fossil Fuels
40:41 When Will The Drawdown of The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Stop?
44:27 Will Europe's Energy Problems Cause A Recession?
48:26 The Strong Dollar Is Destabalizing The Global Financial System
59:30 The Increasing Political Pressure On The Federal Reserve
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpZu9OXBX_I
Upon returning from Golden Week holidays in Japan and China, Chinese bank shares went on an absolute tear higher, with some of the biggest lenders' stocks hitting their +10% intraday limit up on the heels of positive headlines on net interest margins. However, the bigger macro picture in China does not warrant such a historic surge in Chinese banks. Furthermore, the last time that Chinese banks hit limit up was in July 2015, followed by the historic PBOC yuan devaluation, and the subsequent cross-asset, global volatility that had ensued thereafter.
Weston Nakamura discusses today's price action in China (and indeed the world's) largest bank shares, as well as what else is ahead for this week out of Asia with global market impact and relevance.
Watch Weston's interview with Taka Kato on all things Japan markets:
https://youtu.be/pasDGsyQuG0
--
Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U
Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm
Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/
--or
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Market Depth should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tuq6eSjxHcs
Use code JACK250 to get $250 off tickets to Blockworks Digital Asset Summit
https://blockworks.co/events/digital-asset-summit-2022-new-york/
Use code “guidance” to get 50% off Blockworks Research:
https://blockworks.co/get-research/
--
In September, the Federal Reserve is set to remove even more liquidity from markets by taking its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program to the next level. Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the Federal Reserve, and veteran banker Chris Whalen, join Jack to explain how this additional wave of monetary tightening will send shockwaves through markets, particularly the two assets that comprise the Fed’s balance sheet: U.S. Treasuries and agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS).
Joseph argues that the U.S. Treasury will likely enact a “buyback” program of its longer-duration securities in order to dampen QT’s volatility, and Whalen contends that if the Federal Reserve sells Mortgage-Backed Securities (as opposed to merely letting them mature), armageddon will ensue.
Filmed on August 17, 2022.
--
Read Joseph Wang’s latest piece, “The Marginal Buyer”: https://fedguy.com/the-marginal-buyer/
Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://twitter.com/rcwhalen
Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://twitter.com/FedGuy12
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
--
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/
--
Joseph Wang’s work can be found here: https://fedguy.com/
Chris Whalen’s work can be found here: rcwhalen.com
--
Timestamps
00:00 Introduction
01:32 The Effect of Quantitative Tightening (QT) On Commercial Banks
21:00 Vulnerabilities in The Treasury Market
25:15 The Conundrum in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)
32:30 The Fed's Banking "Stress Test"
43:43 Swelling Reverse Repo Facility
48:22 The Fed's Giant Mortgage Problem
59:53 How Far Will The Fed Go In Hiking Rates?
1:02:03 Why Is The Fed's Balance Sheet Not Going Down During QT?
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKqqbjyVEP0