You know what we’re discussing, so don’t even try and ignore it. It is an important discussion, so let’s have it emphasised and expanded on.
These are all video clips from the same fall season of 2018, and as such not taken hugely out of context or being very farfetched diverging statements. Guy may have changed course during that same autumn season, which would have been confusing to me and a lot of other followers, but I certainly didn't go looking very hard for "something to attack him with". I wanted, I think, the man to be clear about such an important issue as "civ bad or not", and I don't believe he was very clear.
Sources:
[Conversation with Dr. Guy McPherson - Oct. 21, 2018 - YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXzcHeSYCkc&t=0s )
[RR#74 GUY MCPHERSON AT LARGE - YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NWmjiX6tYjI&t=0s )
[Part 2 of 2 - Wanna Bet? with Guy McPherson - YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mwuNq1Mb8k&t=0s )
[RR85 Guy McPherson (Live): Thoughts on the “Extinction Rebellion” and the Mainstream Media - YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFpdLFTKakE&t=0s )
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbpjvwkk47E
Green New Deal Edition.
Featuring (in order of appearance) : Jasper Bernes / Sam Mitchell, Torstein Viddal, Kyle Kulinski, Tucker Carlson & Christine Lund.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHg-6PxqRHc
Realtime Collapse: Projections point to likely Crash of sea ice in Antarctica by 16, 18 or 27 Jan 2024.
Recent 25-, 10- or 7-day melt compared to 2010s decadal avg over past 15 days, eg 50% higher melt, then projected on rest of Melt Season.
On staying clear of assumptions & political agendas
We need to be clear about accuracy & uncertainty. Myself, I’ve thrown most, if not all, assumptions out the window on this. Most everyone you heard about has an agenda, which is why you even heard about them… Or they are being used by people with one.
In this plot assumptions are cut to the bone: I still assume Earth revolves around the Sun, so that Melt Season works much the same way as in the past decade.
So I use the 10-year average of 2010-19 as the basis to project upon. For instance, we now have within the past 2-3 weeks a 10-day period that melted 50% faster than that same 10-day period in the 2010s: What would happen if that currently observed melt intensity lingered at 150% of the 2010s level, for the duration of the Melt Season?
At the same time, however, I add to the Uncertainty Interval, the coloured area in the plot, all of the periods it didn’t melt that fast, which is why you get 2-3 million km² sea ice as the very least dramatic estimate.
Summary: So all I’m doing is to say, OK it’s melting this fast now, what happens if that would last? And I also have a 25-day period graphed, which is much less likely to be as extreme as the 10-day.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KPBBsBArg9Y