Everytime Cryptocurrency had an awesome year, 100 folding it's valuation, it was followed by a bad year, bottoming out at -90% from the top before starting a new Bull market. This time it will not be different as valuations are again way ahead of real utility. Even great coins will suffer in Fiat value but this time, unlike previous Bear markets, they may actually go up vs Bitcoin value due to weakening fundamentals of the market leader. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3QFGyRURXY
The bear is here, and he's hurting. Feeling down but trying to think rational. $80 billion market cap not bad to sell at, considering $20 billion will likely be the low ($115 billion peak - 80% correction = $23 billion).
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9YuNeciEAg
Investment mistakes I made in the past. Why I continue to invest in Bitcoin, Roland Vandamme (Gold & Mining Stocks) and now also NXT.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BFdCdr1Qm8
Total crypto market cap (excluding bitcoin core) went from $500B to $50B, back to 130B, back down to 80B today. Noticing signs of depression now that we had a first failed breakout. It is possible bull has started as this is a typical pattern of start bull market, Bitcoin Core goes up while others continue to go down, in which case this may be a last buying opportunity before Bitcoin Core continues it's rise and now smaller coins follow.
Ofcourse bigger coins like Ethereum and Bitcoin Cash still preferred as they will likely go up first but if u have no or little exposure to smaller coins, considering they are already dirt cheap, for example Obyte total market cap $15M, was $800M at peak, still managed well and likely to survive continued bear, and I'm sure there are 100's of other coins in same situation, it's already interesting to start building positions as it can take a while to accumulate enough.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFvs2bI_u_U
Learning to say no is what's needed before you'll find what's worth saying yes to. This applies to investments, but also to girls or career choices.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGA_P7LsqFo
#Tesla was on it's way to go into serious overvaluation towards $1500 but the Kung Flu Panic put a stop on that and made it correct from $950 to low of $350, now back at $500. Compared to historical valuations and growth rate, current $100B market cap is also where the trendline is and therefore we can say it is fairly valued again.
However, once stock market pics up again, since momentum was so strong and fundamentals remain intact and have even improved due to crises as likely some legacy automakers have been taken out now, very likely Tesla will be one of the first to continue to go up strong, this time into serious overvaluation, which historically points to $270B / $1500 if it were to happen by Sep 2020.
Price To Sales/Revenues ratio also points to this valuation as peak valuation previous bubble 2013 was 24x when $TSLA shot from $30 to $150 but since market cap 10x higher now, likely lower volatility expected so 24x unlikely, 18x possible, 12x probable, would also be $1500 currently.
There is potential for even higher prices thou as revenues have actually gone up more than historical valuation of the company, so possible to overshoot green upper band to $350B MC / $2200 per share, which would be 18x Price To Sales Ratio, before going sideways again for many years.
As the saying goes, better to buy a great company for a fair price than a fair company for a great price. Also show at end how coronavirus is growing slower globally now than at start in China and likely to stop growing exponentially globally as quick as it stopped also growing exponentially in the East once measures were taken, within 2 weeks from here ...
Links:
Historical Graph Price To Sales Ratio:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1224548570055028740
Google Sheet Log Regression/Trendline Tesla:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ujXSmxad9WrNpkPhuJv_kcNvy6TtVMNTQZQt3lwYeA0/edit#gid=290376397
Google Sheet Historical Returns Since 1928 of Stocks, Gold, PP, Interest Rates, Inflation:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cRYZmRJl7v_OkCdS6mEYQpt4LsBPAaviIhZgRLFJqxs/edit#gid=59
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rT15WClZBlo
Make sure to leave your ZCL coins on Bittrex or you won't get ZEN coins. Some more info:
https://blockoperations.com/zen-launching-harmonious-split-zclassic-april/
https://bittrex.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/115000201171-Support-for-the-ZEN-Hardfork
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoUMMvAWHrA
Plan how much exposure you want to crypto based on how Over- or Undervalued it is compared to it's Trendline/Log Regression. This is a line composed of the avg of all past prices, that can be called fair valuation, and can be projected into the future. Copy the file to your own Google sheets to start editing, if u made nice improvements, you can share your sheet, or a copy of your sheet with us by pasting link here in comments. Enjoy: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WSeePxcqVyZ__99I-dAcvMBZuEzTq1DX8KzstSKoS5c/edit#gid=43
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OTcsdKSWcg
Recommend to sell in order of importance: long term bonds, commodities, gold, saving accounts and short term bonds. Recommend to keep: stocks (except pm & commodity miners and producers), real estate (except western capitals & student lodging), art & collectibles.
Links:
This guy also predicts a long term bull market for stocks with great argumentation. Follow twitter @2kaykim & great video: https://youtu.be/HguMJnJ5Too
Sheet with returns: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSToqZQThdLCOgRJjRNavcg0qLUNqZXt28HDye-g15g6qk4U1kO289PEUClEFgC2d-M-J51wJFqCI9-/pubhtml
Sheet PDF: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSToqZQThdLCOgRJjRNavcg0qLUNqZXt28HDye-g15g6qk4U1kO289PEUClEFgC2d-M-J51wJFqCI9-/pub?output=pdf
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q44NTJFjCZc