Short video (1 minute 36 seconds) with 4 different powerful optical illusions. When I used to do my introductory lecture on risk and probability I used these as motivation to explain that many probability illusions are just as powerfully misleading. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9j98PtJxn7A
Having previously explained (in this video https://odysee.com/@NormanFenton:b/doctors_4_patients_talk) the impact of the false positive rate for a virus test on the probability a person testing positive is a false positive, this short video shows the impact of taking account of the false negative rate for the test.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aDlBemQV30E
In Nov 2022 we made a formal complaint to the Statistic Regulator about the multiple anomalies in the ONS mortality by vaccination status reports. On 20 Jan 2023 they final responded and they agreed with our major concern that 1) the ONS data was based on a biased sample that under-represented the proportion of unvaccinated in England; and 2) the ONS data could not be used to make any assertions about vaccine efficacy or safety.
Links:
Substack article summarising the saga
https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/uk-statistics-regulator-agrees-with
Our letter to the Stats Regulator
https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/the-ons-data-on-vaccine-mortality-is
The Stats Regulator response:
https://d7694293-ffb8-4ed0-a014-3581d49070e4.usrfiles.com/ugd/d76942_d5fe1cb1d51b4643b9ce09252f732516.pdf
The most recent ONS report (July 2022) that we last analysed:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland
Our critique of the most ONS report
http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.30898.07362
Our previous reports analysing the ONS data:
http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.28055.09124
http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.12472.42248
John Campbell’s youtube channel:
https://www.youtube.com/@Campbellteaching
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-N-17_j_44
Norman Fenton interviewed about the failure of the MHRA to release the data relating to adverse reactions of the vaccine for pregnant women. Also reveals evidence of the extent of under-reporting of the Yellow Card Scheme.
Full UK Column News programme here: https://www.ukcolumn.org/video/uk-column-news-7th-august-2023
Substack article about this: https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/why-is-the-mhra-hiding-critical-safety
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXx38sdWwBM
This 2-minute video provides a simple graphical explanation of why an accurate estimate of the true proportion of unvaccinated is critical. Obviously a proper evaluation would consider different age categories separately; also if safety was the ultimate consideration for evaluation then we would consider 'all-cause' deaths rather than just deaths from the virus.
For the full context of this video see: https://youtu.be/ccWOMtmH65U
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8It4qI9yhzQ
Gentle, but rigorous, introdution to probability. Part 1 covers: experiments, outcomes and events, and the first 2 probability laws (14 minutes). Part 2 is here https://youtu.be/-XbuRGLCaY0
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kXq1zPS1P4s
Recording of live interview on Rise With BNT, 22 July 2022 discussing concerns about the bias and omissions in the BBC2 documentary "Unvaccinated" (that screened on 20 July 2022). Part 1 is here: https://youtu.be/t00-yiG04VU
The full unedited version of the interview is here:
https://rumble.com/v1d7a5l-interview-with-sonia-poulton-discussing-bbc2-documentary-unvaccinated.html
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbQxyG8dyug
Following our article (https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/the-misplaced-attacks-on-bridgens) responding to ths BBC attack on MP Andrew Bridgen (for his speech about vaxx risk/benefits) Dr Joe Fraiman (who was the first named author of the study Briden referred to) sent me this message
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHPHYMXATT8
NOTE error at end of conclusions: should say "proportion of unvaccinated underestimated" - not vaccinated. In this lecture I talk about our ongoing analysis of the latest data published by the Office for Nat Statistics on mortality by vaccine status. The reason this data is incredibly important is because it potentially provides us with the simplest and most objective way to determine the overall risk-benefit of the Covid vaccines, namely the comparison of all-cause mortality between the vaccinated and unvaccinated.
What I will show you is that there are so many inconsistencies and missing information in the data – as is the case for most studies into covid vaccine effectiveness - that few conclusions can be drawn other than that it provides no real evidence that the benefits outweigh the risks.
But before I present these results I provide some background and context for thw work we have been doing on Covid stats
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6umArFc-fdc
Is attending the cinema deadly?
Or, to express the question statistically, does more frequent attendance increase or decrease mortality?
This sounds like a crazy question because intuitively we know that cinema visits have no impact on your health. But imagine that a study has been done that collected data on people who had died after visiting the cinema and concluded that attending the cinema contributed to an increase in mortality. Should you believe this conclusion?
I show using graphical illustrations that there are two different types of survivor bias which, by suitable manipulation of the statistics, can be used to show both increases or decreases in mortality rates the more cinema visits that are made. If we simply replace ‘cinema visits’ with ‘vaccine doses’ then it is clear that we can create - for a placebo vaccine - exactly the same statistical illusions of either increased safety, the more doses you take, or decreased safety, the more doses you take.
See https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/survivor-bias-cuts-both-ways-and
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_LtmHS0QQws