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7 Oct 2020 11:42:37 UTC
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The Emperor Wears No Clothes
No matter what numbers you plug in, an exposure of 80% or 90% #Crypto today does not make rational sense, unless you sit on major profits anyway and would not be hurt losing -50% over next year. There are plenty of other great uncorrelated opportunities to invest in that will lower your risk, and increase your likelihood of success.
I go through the reasons why Crypto, and particularly #Bitcoin $BTC, is at high risk of deflating in price, looking at fundamentals, lack of transaction growth, lack of strong hands, macro events likely to negatively impact as well, but most importantly why future top in 2023 very likely only 3T, which implies we will end this year likely lower around $250B instead of the $350B where we are today, and won't even breach the ATH of $800B in 2021, but only in 2022.
Why top next Crypto bubble likely only 2.5 T in 2023:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1313357292688076800
Here my photoshop of how #Crypto future will likely look:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1313805262713692160
This video I show trendline extrapolated in future shows top valuation of next cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ic4sbgB_Ggw
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=462l9p-iEGw
I go through the reasons why Crypto, and particularly #Bitcoin $BTC, is at high risk of deflating in price, looking at fundamentals, lack of transaction growth, lack of strong hands, macro events likely to negatively impact as well, but most importantly why future top in 2023 very likely only 3T, which implies we will end this year likely lower around $250B instead of the $350B where we are today, and won't even breach the ATH of $800B in 2021, but only in 2022.
Why top next Crypto bubble likely only 2.5 T in 2023:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1313357292688076800
Here my photoshop of how #Crypto future will likely look:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1313805262713692160
This video I show trendline extrapolated in future shows top valuation of next cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ic4sbgB_Ggw
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=462l9p-iEGw
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Eventhough market corrected already -65% from high ($800B to $280B), it is in line with last bear market in 2014 that also lost -65% in only 3 months ($15B to $5B). After that it rebounded for couple months but went to new and final low for Bitcoin only 10 months later at $3B, and 20 months later for most other coins. If history rhymes we will get rebound soon but it will take a long time to find the low.
Cancelled my bids and plan to invest in crypto again only in 2 years. Even if my lowball offers would already get filled next few months, it's still high risk as timing is wrong. Need less hope, more loss of interest in sector, and long period of sideways movement before one can say there is opportunity long AND short term. Imminent stock market correction raises risk to enter crypto now also.
Better financial opportunities elsewhere, such as gold miners, uranium miners, emerging markets that may offer a great buying opportunity for short term profits if we get global stock market correction. Highly recommend:
- Marc Faber his monthly reports, worth every dime: https://www.gloomboomdoom.com/
- As well as Louis Thomas his recent video on state of the market and when opportunity is biggest in crypto:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cggGwbJPLuU&t
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Considering my recent chart video that points to likely $1 trillion market cap this bull cycle, and bitcoin today already being at $250 billion, alts may get most of that remaining pie, in possibly a very short time frame (1-3 months). Continue to believe strongly in Bitcoin Cash and Byteball, both also on sale I think.
My twitter:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel
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And to keep great guy: be fun, be supportive, be reasonable. Realize that you are at your top when 20, not 30 like guys. So don't let fun, studies or career stand in the way to settle with great guy. If you are not as beautiful or not young anymore you can increase your partner quality by going to poor countries where your white looks and money will be able to get you young, handsome, poor but great guys. Don't let social disapproval limit you in your options. Fuck em & Fuck well!
Sure I forgot plenty of other stuff so please help the ladies in the comment section, what do they need to have or do to find a great guy?
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