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27 Jun 2020 16:13:42 UTC
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Marky Mark is in the House, LIVE from Kenya
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VALUI
valuing-the-nxt-investor
- Speculation Is The Name Of The Game & Necessity The Road To Riches
- Currencies vs Companies & Is The Time Right For Nxt To Flourish?
- Recommended: Bill Gross: The single biggest reason why startups succeed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNpx7gpSqbY
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aVlbqfvitWg
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DEEL
deel-3-marc-de-mesel-op-goud-congres-15
Bekijk ook deel 4: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qH2-8qcosQI
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sOIXvwG-Kvs
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CRYPT
crypto-sideways-likely-till-2022
Show starts at 6:36 - Sideways movement, after bottom was found, in past cycles typically takes as long as the bull market before. Bull market took 3 years, and so after the bottom is found, it will take most likely 3 years again of sideways movement, moving parallel to the red trendline, and staying undervalued historically high. During this period, most likely towards the end, we will see peak undervaluation of most likely around -80%, trendline being around $1T by 2022, means market cap will then still bottom at $150B, same value as today ...
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lqNaeqqnhsI
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U DON
u-don-t-care-about-adoption-they-don-t
A screaming high Network Value to Transactions (NVT) indicator predicting major corrections with 100% past accuracy, 95% high greed index and a boring accumulation phase that NEVER took place yet all lead to one conclusion: The ship will come down for a deeper correction than most people are ready to accept - Jonas Tewolde
Great Links:
Times high NVTS reading was followed by price correction? 12 in 12: https://twitter.com/hithrowaway/status/1131446537827995648
NVT value went up much more than usage in past bear market before price took of, not so this time:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1131243563063402497
Why $3150 was unlikely bottom:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1133311680597901312
Fear & Greed Index: 95% / Extreme Greed
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1143780635963731968
https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/
Boom/Bust cycle at $100B, will likely overshoot to $50B:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1131226816742678528
Why Testing Bottom $4500 Very Likely, NEW Bottom $2800 Likely and DEEP Bottom $1800 Possible: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsiKhDUMzGM
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNVhXgkRJbI
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WHY I
why-invest-in-nuclear-energy-uranium
Uranium went down from $130 in 2007 to $20 today. It may not have bottomed yet but it sure is a spectacular fall already. Nuclear Energy is undervalued in my opinion. It is by far the cheapest form of energy, as well as the cleanest. Accidents need not throw away the baby with the bathwater. Commodities are also at historical low valuations vs stocks. There might be a great investment opportunity here in the making, and a great diversification away from Crypto.
Commodities vs Stock indexes:
https://www.investing.com/analysis/a-glimpse-of-the-future-200287336
http://www.mining.com/chart-commodity-prices-slump-50-year-low-us-stocks/
Historical Uranium Prices:
https://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=uranium&months=360
Julian Simon his most insightful book "The Ultimate Resource 2 (2nd edition), where he proves humanity and it's environment is improving it's conditions, with a full chapter on why Nuclear energy is the way forward: http://www.juliansimon.com/writings/Ultimate_Resource/
Check out 'My Heroes' playlist to see interview with Julian Simon and several other great thinkers that had a big impact on me:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0TqJCAYjzM&list=PLJsRA97ztzdJxDXQ4LBU98TWCUjjbgDhU&index=2
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WwurFlompRU
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AMOUN
amount-of-transactions-btc-dash
Now comparing Amount Of Transactions vs their peak during bubble, for BTC, BCH, Dash & Monero, left out Litecoin*. Discovered Amount Of Transactions for Dash was seriously overstated due to mixing. Starting to doubt BTC transactions are for real too. Very strange they have been going up so well past half year from bottom of 170k to 270k per day, eventhough other metrics, USD Sent & Median Transaction Value, have collapsed as much as BCH. Same for Dash that collapsed equally little in amount of transactions compared to peak bull market (-25%), but all other metrics collapsed as much as BCH. Do BTC and Dash have popular apps running on it that might explain it? If yes, who has data?
*Left out LTC as I don't believe in it long term due to too much of a copycat of BTC.
Links:
Sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSL6nK3t1QYmF2wFN19pCn2jxVfug7FNdIoPPzqT1rF6_A2Ok5amXGoS7djm65To1nTVFCRrG2K3JyQ/pubhtml
Data source: https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/marketcap-mediantransactionvalue-btc.html#log
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWDMtw0vBCs
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NEW H
new-high-undervaluation-almost-reached
Current drop to $7600 #Bitcoin, $205 billion total #crypto market cap means we are at serious undervaluation of -45% vs the log regression trendline. A trendline that goes down in growth over time, meaning all support that held in previous cycle will likely be broken in this cycle, something so widely ignored by Crypto Twitter and YouTube analysts! If we drop to $6800 / $180 billion total market cap we would reach new high of -55% undervaluation that was very likely to happen and where I hope to go to majority crypto exposure again.
Since bull likely started almost 1 year ago when bottom of $3150 BTC / $110 billion total market cap was reached, and we already had market leader $BTC pumping as first in meantime, likely next are large cap coins like $XRP, $ETH, $BCH pumping, which may cause certain fiat prices that ETH or BCH reach on this correction to possibly 6k, never be seen again even if Bitcoin Core goes to 4k later on, hence why buying ETH and BCH in steps is important.
Fingers crossed my target of -55% gets reached so I can solidify my Tesla gains that I was lucky to have in time, into a big stash of Bitcoin Cash ??
Links:
Other reputable analysts predicting only 50k BTC also by 2023:
https://twitter.com/MarcDeMesel/status/1196407956180324352
Crypto Investment Plan:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WSeePxcqVyZ__99I-dAcvMBZuEzTq1DX8KzstSKoS5c/edit?ouid=114287237714814559422&usp=sheets_home&ths=true
Why Bitcoin Likely to go DOWN:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ic4sbgB_Ggw
2011 Most Likely, Bottom In But Sideways at Lower Valuations:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VmYtFnc39vA
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvKzT7ue6vQ
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PREPA
prepare-for-probable-80-crypto
If you are overinvested or have been guilty of FOMO buying, please correct while u still can. Also don't be too quick to buy strong if we start correcting. I am convinced we are only half way the bear market and are in a rebound comparable to middle 2014 when Bitcoin had crashed from $1150 to $400 but then went back up to $650 for couple of months. Many thought bear had finished but we were only half way and ended up correcting another 74% to $155. Yes this rebound is much stronger, but the characteristics in NVTS, FIB and Volume readings are very similar. Check Cryptomedus his thread on it:
https://twitter.com/cryptomedius/status/1133802780274118657
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVebjEr0wvE
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LIVE
live-show-is-on
Great investments are not high risk/ high reward, but low risk/high reward. Accepting your loss very important in relationships and investing, sharing with others your pain, thinking what you did wrong and trying to learn lesson, all help very well to move on in a healthy way.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVO6VwTnwzo
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