On today’s episode of “Forward Guidance,” Jack Farley is joined by the mysterious green chicken known only as “Doomberg,” a research publication on energy, food, and fertilizer. Doomberg argues that the ongoing surge in oil and natural gas prices is due to key policy errors that, if they continue, will ensure that price shock will turn into a full-blown energy and food crisis that will push many countries to the brink of recession, particularly Europe and frontier market nations. Doomberg breaks down the frightening dependence of Europe on Russian energy and explains how, in the case of Germany, a rejection of nuclear power by so-called “environmentalists” led to its embrace of coal. – Follow Doomberg on Twitter https://twitter.com/DoombergT Follow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe to Doomberg https://doomberg.substack.com/ Subscribe To The Blockworks Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Bit.com is a full-suite cryptocurrency exchange launched by Matrixport, an integrated financial services firm headquartered in Singapore. Since August 2020, Bit.com has been online supporting the spot, perpetual, futures, fixed income and options products, with a particular highlight being pioneers to launch BCH options. Bit.com is the second-largest in the BTC and ETH options market. Call to action: For any further enquiry, please contact vip@bit.com. Sign up URL: https://bit.ly/3KlgLR3 App download URL: https://bit.ly/3xer6uI (edited) -- 00:00 Introduction 00:33 The Start of Doomberg 05:27 Core Energy Thesis 12:00 How Germany's Rejection of Nuclear Led To Its Embrace Of Coal 14:32 The Weaponization of Russia's Natural Gas 19:40 Europe's Dependence on Russian Energy 34:00 Bit.com Ad 34:30 Nuclear Power 39:20 Farmers On The Brink 47:30 Oil 54:57 Renewables 01:08:36 Questions From Audience -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WruFHykUxCo

Peter Stella, Former Head of the IMF Central Banking Division, joins Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at Fedguy.com, and Jack Farley for a wide-ranging discussion on: -what really causes inflation -monetarism, fiscal theory of the price level, and modern monetary theory (MMT) -the unrealized losses on the Fed’s balance sheet -why yield curve control likely won’t be necessary (or so Peter argues) -the longer the duration of a governments’ debt, the less inflation is required to inflate it away -when a central bank incurs unrealized losses, who “wins” and who “loses”? Filmed on March 29, 2023. ____ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Joseph Wang’s writings: https://fedguy.com/ Joseph’s latest piece, “Ameridollars”: https://fedguy.com/ameridollars/ Peter Stella on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Stellar_Consult Peter Stella’s work: https://www.centralbankarchaeology.com/ “Do Central Banks Need Capital?” by Peter Stella: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/30/Do-Central-Banks-Need-Capital-2260 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ ____ Use code GUIDANCE10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ ____ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can’t-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos ____ Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:15 Peter Stella's Background At The International Monetary Fund (IMF) 03:55 Joseph Wang On The Flaws Of Monetarism 05:52 Milton Friedman: It's The Government That Prints Money 07:56 The Fiscal Theory Of The Price Level 13:38 Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) 24:12 Real Value Of U.S. Debt Is Lower Now Than March 2020 37:33 Permissionless 38:38 The Fed Has Huge Unrealized Losses On Its Balance Sheet 45:29 Details About The Fed's Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Purchases In 2020 51:51 Did The Fed Help Wealthy Homeowners Refinance Their Mortgages In 2020? 54:21 Blockworks Research Plug 55:22 When The Federal Reserve Has Unrealied Losses On Its Balance Sheets, Who Loses and Who Gains? 01:13:50 Joseph Wang's Summary Of This Conversation 01:15:08 Yield Curve Control and Potential Debt Death Spiral ____ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5JEOCoGjq5o