# beatingcovid19 How to know when to ease the lockdown. After a week long coverage on the lockdown strategies and the success stories. We are faced with the ominous question, When is the best time to ease the lockdowns? There is no “best time” or “worst time” there is only the right time and the wrong time. Here are the approaches provided: 1. Understanding R0 This is the standard support model given by WHO.. but is not the only one. The term R0 is used in two different ways. - The basic reproduction number represents the maximum epidemic potential of a pathogen. It describes what would happen if an infectious person were to enter a fully susceptible community, and therefore is an estimate based on an idealized scenario. - The effective reproduction number depends on the population's current susceptibility. This measure of transmission potential is likely lower than the basic reproduction number, based on factors like whether some of the people are vaccinated against the disease, or whether some people have immunity due to prior exposure with the pathogen. Therefore, the effective R0 changes over time and is an estimate based on a more realistic situation within the population. The R0 for Covid 19 is between 2-2.5 based on the Wuhan sample. Helpful reading on the subject * https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/3/26/21193851/coronavirus-covid-19-staying-home-social-distancing * https://sph.umich.edu/pursuit/2020posts/how-scientists-quantify-outbreaks.html * https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-what-is-the-r-number/ 2. Demographic Survival aka Herd immunity This was proposed by the Uk and was the standard way there immunity was archived in the past. Herd immunity happens when so many people in a community become immune to an infectious disease that it stops the disease from spreading. This can happen in two ways: 1. Many people contract the disease and in time build up an immune response to it (natural immunity). 2. Many people are vaccinated against the disease to achieve immunity. Herd immunity requires about 54% - 61% of the population to be immune . We are a long way off. To learn more here is some interesting reading: * https://www.macleans.ca/opinion/everything-you-need-to-know-about-herd-immunity-hint-were-a-long-way-off/ * https://www.healthline.com/health/herd-immunity 3. Early in the Pandemic I spoke about the third method called the Hammer and the dance. I am very glad to find the at the evidence has been positive and effective. I believe nations should look at this method. It snot straight forward but it is doable It involves Aggressively attack the coronavirus by locking down the economy. Once curbed, jump into the Dance by replacing the aggressive lockdown with cheap and intelligent measures to control the ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBrAgOi3LrY

Corona Chronicles Introducing Dianadavid Xicolami. She is a Portuguese Artist (aka Animator, storyboard and character designer) I found her funs article and comic strip on boredpanda.com Here she is: “I Draw Comics About Funny Things That COVID-19 Is Putting Us Through (25 Pics) Telling funny stories is something I've been really eager to try but never found the time. With COVID-19 and all the strict rules of confinement at home, I decided that this was the right time to finally do it. This helped me to deal with all the anxiety and concerns about the future. I hope it can make you laugh and relax a little bit! Most of these are situations I've experienced myself or someone has told me about; others are fiction. And you'll never really know which ones are real! Follow me on Instagram and Facebook for more!” - Dianadavid Xicolami. More info: Instagram | Facebook Enjoy: https://www.boredpanda.com/corona-chronicles-comics-quarantine-diana-david/?utm_source=google&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=organic Laughter is the best medicine…. ———————————————— Notice: Safeguard your mental health: Start now.. form faith support groups and share your faith, fears and feelings. Break bread in your homes and turn to the lord. Turn off the News they stopped mentioning Jesus a long time ago. Believe in yourself and trust God to see you through. Have a good night and God bless ———————————————— See you on the next one. ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS_ljOQCpr4