LORNA DEE CERVANTES is an internationally acclaimed poet. Recipient of the Lila Wallace/Readers Digest Writers Award, 2 NEA Fellowship Grants, 2 Pushcart Prizes (another nominated this year) & "Best Book" awards for Emplumada ('81), From the Cables of Genocide: Poems on Love and Hunger ('91), and the 5-volume Drive: The First Quartet ('06) which was nominated for a Pulitzer, her new books are Ciento: 100 100-Word Love Poems ('11), Stunned into Being: Essays On the Poetry of Lorna Dee Cervantes ('11), and the forthcoming Something of the Cruelest. A California native, born in The Mission, Cervantes was the former Director of Creative Writing at CU- Boulder where she was a Professor of English for 19 years. This year's UC Regents Lecturer at Berkeley, she is home again in the Bay Area writing fiction, essays, poetry & screenplays.
Full story: http://newscenter.berkeley.edu/2014/11/04/how-important-is-long-distance-travel-in-the-spread-of-epidemics/
Three scenarios comparing the spread of an epidemic based on the increasing likelihood that people travel long distances from the center of the outbreak.
The two-dimensional model takes into account only those people who are susceptible and those who are infected. The epidemics start in the center of each square and, as time progresses, spread in space. Long-range jumps – mimicking air travel, for example – lead to sub-outbreaks. If long-distance jumps are rare, the main outbreak will quickly merge with the satellite outbreaks, leading to a rippling, wave-like growth (left). As the likelihood of long-distance jumps increases, the epidemic spread exhibits a super-linear power-law growth (center), stretched exponential or “metastatic” growth (right) or, in a worst case scenario, exponential growth (not shown).
Graphic animations by Oskar Hallatschek, UC Berkeley, & Daniel S. Fisher, Stanford University.
Video editing by Christian Collins, UC Berkeley Media Relations