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Visit our website now: http://www.billstill.com - considered by informed insiders’ as THE ultimate resource for fixing the National Debt problem and surviving Economic or Financial Collapse/Crash and attaining the unvarnished truth about Washington and today’s United States Political Climate.
Good morning, I’m still reporting on the Electoral Collage
Trump Will Crush Clinton - Latest Electoral College Prediction.
The UPI/CVoter state poll was released on Monday and it shows that Donald Trump improved in all but one battleground state over the past week – Pennsylvania.
The UPI poll shows that if the elections were held last weekend, the Electoral map would look like this 5 days from now:
[insert UPI]
with Clinton winning 341 Electoral Votes to Trump’s 197.
However, in light of our in-depth study of the Florida Absentee and Early Voting vote, we are factoring in two skews.
Skew #1
First of all the Monster vote skew, which is a combination of net crossovers, primarily from Clinton to Trump, plus Trump’s net plus among new voters, plus voters who have not voted since before Obama, plus a net gain for Trump for the enthusiasm of his voters which skyrocketing as Clinton’s crashes.
Combining all these factors, what we believe is a conservative estimate is adding + 2% for Trump and subtracting – 2% for Clinton – a net skew of 4%.
Skew #2
The existing poll numbers for the two leading 3rd-party candidates, Johnson and Stein are without historical precedent.
Therefore, we will reduce the current combined vote of Stein and Johnson by 50% and split the remaining 50% between Trump and Clinton on a 70/30 basis.
So what do the tossup states look like after adding in these skews?
Florida – The UPI poll has Clinton’s lead in Florida slipping from last week’s 2.4% to only 1% this week. Our previous analysis showed Trump winning by 11%.
However, UPI shows Clinton at 48.2 and Trump at 47.2 with Others drawing 4.6%.
Applying our skew #1, we see Clinton dropping to 46.2 and Trump rising to 49.2. When you add in skew #2, Trump moves up another 1.6% to 50.8% and Clinton to 46.9% - a 3.9% win for Trump.
North Carolina – According to UPI, Clinton leads Trump 48.2 to 47.8, with Others getting 4.0.
Applying our skews, Trump wins NC 51.2 to 46.8 – a 4.4% victory for Trump.
Virginia – Once thought out of play in earlier polling, Virginia has tightened considerably. Clinton now leads 49.5 to 46.2 with 4.3% for other.
After our skews, Trump +49.7%, Clinton 48.1% - a 1.6% margin in Virginia
Ohio – has shown Trump leading in many other polls, but UPI shows Clinton leading by a 49.5 to 47.1 margin with Other taking 3.4%.
Adding oul skews, however, Trump 50.3% to Clinton: 48.0% - a 2.3% margin.
As you can see, taking these 4 states alone, puts Trump over the top 266 to 272, and since all 3 are in the eastern time zone, this will be known sooner than later.
But there is still more good news.
Pennsylvania
We started doing stories about how massive numbers of Democrats were crossing over to becoming registered Republicans more than 8 months ago, so it is not surprising that Pennsylvania is affected by our assumptions.
According to UPI, Clinton leads Trump – 50.3 to 45.6 with Others at 4.2%
After skewing, we show Trump beating Clinton, 49.1 to 48.9% - a razor-thin .2% margin. But again, this is a conservative estimate, especially in Pennsylvania’s case.
The addition of a Trump victory in Pennsylvania is huge. Clinton would now trail by 246 to 292.
New Hampshire
UPI has Clinton leading, 49.5 to 46.6, with a 3.9% Other vote.
But after applying our skews, Trump takes it 50% to 48.1% - a 1.9% margin.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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Future generations will call it Obama’s Trojan Horse. Today it’s known as the Refugee Resettlement Program.
For the last 5 years, the U.S. has allowed an average 136,000 migrants from Muslim countries to enter each year. That’s more then the total population of Washington, D.C.
[insert graph]
Yet, according to a Rasmussen poll, 70% of American voters say that the U.S. should admit zero refugees from the Middle East, or fewer than 10,000 per year.
But to politicians in Washington, that’s not been enough. In 2013, freshman Senator Marco Rubio teamed with John McCain and Senate Democrats – the notorious Gang of 8 – to pass a bill in the Senate that would have tripled the number of migrants admitted to the U.S.
Fortunately, a few months later, in Jan. 2014, House Republicans refused to act on Rubio’s bill saying that:
“… border security and interior enforcement must come first.”
Nevertheless, according to the Senate’s immigration subcommittee, with all the various immigration programs combined, about 170,000 new lifetime Muslim migrants will enter the United States this year – that’s nearly 14,000 per month.
According to Senator Jeff Sessions, at least 72 recent immigrants from these programs have been implicated as Islamic terrorists.
But that is still not enough to suit President Obama’s pledge to fundamentally transform America:
[insert Obama]
A year ago, we started covering the massive influx of illegal immigration across the Mexican border in Still Report #304 – Why the Illegal Immigrant Kids?
Recently, suspicions have been raised that the Obama administration may be flying in even more Muslim migrants covertly into small regional airports from overseas in the middle of the night in ways that circumvent standard immigration and U.S. Customs security procedures.
We started covering this controversial topic on Nov. 23, 2015 in Minute Memo #201 – Is UPS Bringing in Refugees?
https://youtu.be/GTXSr6zmWk0
This was followed up with Still Report $462 – US Taking 100k Muslim Refugees/Year
https://youtu.be/KIf3tElDLfA
Followed by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s confirmation that immigrants were indeed being brought into his state surreptitiously through charity programs such as Catholic Charities and yet even Christie – the governor – was not allowed to know who they were, or where they were going.
Information on this covert program is far from definitive, but it has at least risen to the point “where- there’s-smoke-there’s-fire” where news organizations with more resources than mine should investigate.
Thank God, for Donald Trump, who has finally called for a halt to the tidal wave, surreptitious, covert, and other wise. If he does nothing else, he will go down in American history as a great patriot for just that comment.
Now, Texas Republican Gov. Greg Abbott, along with his Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick have come out in support of Trump’s proposal after two alleged ISIS terrorists were arrested on Thursday – one in Sacramento, and the other in Houston.
According to Lt. Gov. Patrick, the arrests:
“…may have prevented a catastrophic terror-related event in the making and saved countless lives….”
Gov. Abbott said the arrests:
“… are precisely why I called for a halt to refugees entering the U.S. from countries substantially controlled by terrorists …. until there is an effective vetting process that will ensure refugees do not compromise the safety of Americans and Texans.”
However, no amount of “vetting” would have stopped one of the two terrorists from entering the country. The refugee arrested in Houston, Omar Faraj Al Harden, was “radicalized” after he arrived in the U.S. as a teenager in 2009.
Ironically, one of the leading voices in Congress who has tried to stop Obama’s Refugee Resettlement Program is Rep. Brian Babin from Houston.
Babin introduced a bill in Congress 6 months ago to shut this controversial program down in a full stop, pending a reliable audit. Quoted by WND, Babin said:
“… if there were any doubts then these arrests prove the point that we have a problem with this refugee program.”
However, Babin’s bill has sat dormant in Congress, and instead, just before the Christmas break, the Republican leadership pushed through the new omnibus spending bill that fully funded President Obama’s request for $1.6 billion dollars for the Refugee Resettlement Program.
Outrageously, the authorization allows the United Nations to select up to 85,000 refugees that the Obama administration will insert into more than 180 U.S. cities and towns.
According to Sen. Jeff Sessions’ office:
“Our mindless immigration policies are introducing radicalism, extremism and terrorism into the United States.”
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