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7 Apr 2020 04:49:51 UTC
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A very depressing pythons script (vlog) | Stuff I'm interested in
In this video I look at calculating the number of people who will have corona virus based on using the CFR % and the speed of doubling to figure out how many people have it as of today.
https://github.com/nicholasbernstein/misc-scripts/blob/master/reverse_corona_count.py
4/5/2020:
Infected Now: 260000 Dead: 7020
Infected 17 days ago: 520000 ( deaths in 3 days: 14040 )
Infected 14 days ago: 1040000 ( deaths in 6 days: 28080 )
Infected 11 days ago: 2080000 ( deaths in 9 days: 56160 )
Infected 8 days ago: 4160000 ( deaths in 12 days: 112320 )
Infected 5 days ago: 8320000 ( deaths in 15 days: 224640 )
If this is correct, we will have 224,640 deaths in the US on 4/20/2020 by my calculations. Hopefully social distancing will kick in and this will be much lower.
--------------------------------------------------
For training info: https://nicholasbernstein.com/training/
https://www.patreon.com/TheNickBernsteinShow
twitter: @nickbernstein
videos on lbry.io: https://open.lbry.io/@nicktrains:b/
Mastadon.social: @nickbernstein@mastodon.social
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0WBnNJJwLQo
https://github.com/nicholasbernstein/misc-scripts/blob/master/reverse_corona_count.py
4/5/2020:
Infected Now: 260000 Dead: 7020
Infected 17 days ago: 520000 ( deaths in 3 days: 14040 )
Infected 14 days ago: 1040000 ( deaths in 6 days: 28080 )
Infected 11 days ago: 2080000 ( deaths in 9 days: 56160 )
Infected 8 days ago: 4160000 ( deaths in 12 days: 112320 )
Infected 5 days ago: 8320000 ( deaths in 15 days: 224640 )
If this is correct, we will have 224,640 deaths in the US on 4/20/2020 by my calculations. Hopefully social distancing will kick in and this will be much lower.
--------------------------------------------------
For training info: https://nicholasbernstein.com/training/
https://www.patreon.com/TheNickBernsteinShow
twitter: @nickbernstein
videos on lbry.io: https://open.lbry.io/@nicktrains:b/
Mastadon.social: @nickbernstein@mastodon.social
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0WBnNJJwLQo
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