Small losses are an integral part of every successful investor's or trader's strategy. It is simple risk management. However, it is also key to allow small losses in a system at scale, like an economy. Otherwise, financial "deadwood" can accumulate, risking the collapse of the entire system.
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Recent wage data shows strong and persistent growth in wages. Unfortunately, this comes after Americans have been feeling the burden of high inflation instead of before. Further, the rise in wages is contributing to sustaining demand that will drive inflation persistently higher.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mnkx-D_teKM
In this episode, we dive into the recent announcement by the Fed that they plan to start expanding the balance sheet again and buying treasuries.
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#federalreserve #inflation #qe4 #debtmonetization #quantitativeeasing
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93cFnErT4BM
In this short episode, we look at why Powell's remarks today caused bond yields to explode up and stocks everywhere to start tanking. In short, the market is addicted to increasing stimulus, and the status quo isn't cutting it.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLkbkAv-BUU
Mergers and Acquisitions are on track to have a huge year in 2022 as we may see the completion of the largest acquisition in history with Microsoft buying Activision Blizzard for a staggering $69 billion. The ones who usually win from these deals are the investors in the companies being bought out - not the companies doing the buying. So how does one go about finding companies that have the potential to be acquired?
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMcgtosGusA
Tariff Engineering is the practice of designing your product in a specific way so that it falls into a category of goods with lower tariff rates. This practice is widespread and causes all kinds of misallocation of resources, making the whole idea of tariffs seem counterproductive.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ke7lNXIr3jk
As wages get more expensive, the incentive is to find ways to buy less labor. This has resulted in big banks cutting staff and advising other companies to do the same in order to keep their costs in check. As wage inflation persists, more and more companies may end up doing the same.
Sources:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/18/goldman-ceo-says-he-sees-real-wage-inflation-everywhere-after-33percent-jump-in-pay-expenses.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-20/bofa-s-job-cuts-offer-a-road-map-for-navigating-higher-costs?srnd=premium
https://youtu.be/_OtZ49i-yyk?t=1171
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Just a few weeks ago, Japan intervened in the currency markets to rescue the yen for the first time since 1998. The yen has been collapsing in value versus other currencies like the US dollar, and in order to save the yen they decided to sell other assets to buy back yen to drive the value higher.
The problem is most people warned major economists and most people who understand the way this works warned that this is just a temporary measure and intervention on currencies doesn't help long term.
And that is exactly what happened. And they were forced to intervene yet again on Friday, October 21st. Now, the only question is what happens next?
Timecodes
0:00 Video Overview
0:49 Intro
0:57 Japan’s Inflation Starts to Rise
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#JapanInflation #YieldCurve #Yen
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T15i_4o8gJc
How do currencies start? And why is it that they always seem to fail? Now, any time we have a conversation about things like this, it is important to get definitions straight. So, what do I mean by currency?
And is it different than money? Well, the short answer is yes. But many people disagree about what makes up the difference between these two things.
Timecodes
0:00 Introduction
1:10 The Origin of Money
2:37 Downsides of Using Gold as Money
5:12 Banking as a Solution to the Problems of Gold as Money
8:33 The Rise of Central Banking
12:26 The Emergence of Fiat Currency
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#FiatCurrencies #CurrencyvsMoney #SoundMoney
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BRbIW-dx7jw
In this episode, we look at the selloff in commodities amidst the spike in the dollar. We look at what has prompted this market action, which includes new supply from China. So is it time to buy the dip? Or is there more volatility to come?
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#gold #silver #commodities
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...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BxvKICCE2VY