What did 20 years of promoting democracy do for Afghanistan? Well, the Taliban were fighting it the whole time. With game theory.
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https://marketpower.substack.com/Papers referenced:
Austin L. Wright, Luke N. Condra, Jacob N. Shapiro, Andrew C. Shaver (2021). Civilian Harm, Wartime Informing, and Counterinsurgent Operations
Luke N. Condra, James D. Long, Andrew C. Shaver, and Austin L. Wright (2018). The Logic of Insurgent Electoral Violence, American Economic Review, 108(11): 3199–3231
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